Eastern Europe
Labour markets

The privatization of large state enterprises in Central and Eastern Europe has proved slow, since their closure requires the displacement of large numbers of workers. In Discussion Paper No. 746, Research Fellow Michael Burda attributes the recent sharp rise in these countries' unemployment to major structural changes with which normal labour force attrition is unable to cope: job losses in agriculture and heavy industry and the drastic reorientation of trade towards the West. Many labour market institutions must be developed from scratch, and the appropriate relative levels of unemployment benefit or degrees of severance protection or trade union representation during radical structural change may differ from those in the advanced industrial economies. Unemployment benefit levels range from penurious in Bulgaria and the CSFR to over-generous in Hungary, while collective bargaining is highly corporatist in the CSFR but fragmented in Hungary and Romania. Severance benefits and prior notice regulations are relatively modest, while active employment measures are widely neglected, but this largely reflects budgetary restraints.

Burda estimates a matching function with monthly gross flow data from Czech and Slovak employment districts and finds that this has evolved over time, fits the data well and resembles those estimated by others for Western Europe. Since labour is the most important resource of inefficient public sector firms, Burda uses this matching function to demonstrate that the optimal policy for their closure is a `mixed-bang', i.e. neither a `big bang' nor benign neglect, so long as private sector productivity is greater. Lay-offs in the state sector peg unemployment to a level reflecting both its private and social costs and its role in generating private sector employment. As the latter grows, state sector employment shrinks to its steady-state value.

Unemployment, Labour Market Institutions and Structural Change in Eastern Europe
Michael C Burda

Discussion Paper No. 746, December 1992 (HR/IM)