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1930s
Unemployed
Willing Volunteers?
Traditional
explanations of interwar British unemployment have emphasized depressed
levels of spending and the decline of traditional 'staple' industries
such as coal, cotton, and shipbuilding. Recently this has been
challenged by a 'revisionist' claim that unemployment was largely
voluntary, the result of overgenerous unemployment benefits. Yet a
considerable proportion of 1930s unemployment was 'long-term' in nature,
lasting one year or more. Many researchers find it difficult to accept
that this long term unemployment could be the result of cynical
manipulation of the benefits system or of a prolonged and choosy search
for an attractive job offer. It is therefore surprising that in this
recent controversy relatively little attention has been given to
long-term unemployment, although it was the subject of much analysis
during the 1930s.
Long-term unemployment was concentrated among elderly workers and those
living in northern England, Scotland and Wales. During the 1930s the
volume of long-term unemployment rose dramatically. There were nearly
300,000 long-term unemployed insured workers even in a good year such as
1937; the comparable figure in 1929 was probably less than 100,000. In
Discussion Paper No. 76, Research Fellow Nicholas Crafts employs
techniques developed by modern labour economists to assess more
precisely than could contemporary observers the extent and costs of the
increased unemployment durations observed during the 1930s. He finds
that when rising long-term unemployment is assessed correctly, the
achievements of the 1930s economic recovery appear much less impressive
than is often supposed.
Crafts notes that studies undertaken during the 1930s can be used to
assess modern theories of unemployment in the light of the interwar
experience. He draws several interesting conclusions from such a
comparison. First, he argues, many of the long-term unemployed were not
well-off, either absolutely or relative to the incomes they had enjoyed
when working. Second, most long- term unemployed gave up any vigorous
search for work; they also became less employable simply by virtue of
their unemployment. Third, many workers had very strong attachments to
localities where their chances of re-employment were slender. Finally,
at the time both government and public opinion saw long-term
unemployment as an outcome of industrial problems rather than of
personal failings and therefore made unemployment assistance more
readily available.
Crafts argues that the long-term unemployment of the 1930s seems to have
been a persistent problem, arising from the depression and collapse of
export opportunities for the staple industries, rather than one initiated
by generous unemployment benefits. Crafts also notes that the
deterioration in the skills and attitudes of the long-term unemployed
seems likely to have raised permanently the measured level of
unemployment at which the labour market could be described as at 'full
employment'. This created serious and perhaps intractable problems in an
economy where the staple industries did not fully recover and where the
deterrent effect of the Poor Law was not only inoperative but also
politically unacceptable. Crafts describes the long-term unemployed not
as 'willing volunteers', as the recent revisionists would have it, but
rather as 'reluctant recruits' to the army of those without work.
Long Term Unemployment in Britain in the 1930s
N F R Crafts
Discussion Paper No. 76, October 1985 (HR)
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