|
|
OTHER
ACTIVITIES
Several meetings have been held either to follow up
lines of research arising out of the inaugural programme meetings or to
explore problem areas which might justify research initiatives. In the
former category was a workshop convened at the Centre by Willem Buiter
on February 3rd, in which several International Macroeconomics programme
Research Fellows met with some invited guests to discuss alternative
approaches to modelling macroeconomic interdependence. There was
extensive discussion of the potential contribution of game theory to
such work, as well as its limitations. Future research might focus on
topics such as the transfer problem and its relevance to debt service
and responses to energy price changes; the role of the IMF in enforcing
rules for the world macro policy game; macro policy coordination in the
EEC, especially through the operation of the European Monetary System.
Three exploratory half-day meetings held under CEPR auspices have
rinvolved a wide range of academic, business and government economists,
economic journalists, and civil servants. Richard Portes chaired a
session on January 17th dealing with industrial policy in a European
context, which was introduced by John Sutton. There was some agreement
that recent theoretical developments have provided proper tools for
economic analysis of issues which hitherto have evoked a more
descriptive, ins titutional or political approach. New work on natural
oligopolies and on international trade under imperfect competition (see
Forthcoming Events) could be the basis for high- quality applied work.
Moreover, there is no doubt that industrial policy will attract great
attention within the European Community and in its relations with its
trading partners. The area remains rather diffuse, however; to be both
rigorous and relevant, research on industrial policy would have to be
very carefully directed and might require substantial resources.
On January 30th, Oliver Hart chaired a productive discussion of economic
research problems generated by the wide-ranging current changes in the
structure of financial institutions. The extensive consideration of both
domestic and international aspects of this topic narrowed down to four
areas of particular interest for future work: welfare analysis of the
costs and benefits of this rapid institutional transformation; causes
and effects of the emergence of new markets and financial instruments
and the decline of some existing ones; the role of the lender of last
resort; and the economics of self-regulation in institutions like the
Stock Exchange. The application to these questions of recent advances in
the economics of information appeared especially important. All these
problem areas were thought to be relevant to the future of the City of
London in a highly competitive international system.
On February 1st, David Pearce chaired a CEPR meeting on energy
economics, for which he and Richard Portes had brought together two
dozen representatives of most of the UK research work in this area. The
aim was to establish and extend contacts, take an inventory of current
activity, and identify areas in which some academic economists might
usefully work together under CEPR auspices, also using the Centre as a
base for collaboration with others doing energy research. Pearce's
closing summary of the intensive discussion picked out for this purpose
several problem areas in UK energy policy, LDC energy policy, and the
international dimensions of some energy issues.
A different kind of meeting, the lunchtime talk followed by questions,
is a well-known and extremely valuable feature of Chatham House's
activities. CEPR began its own series of such presentations in a joint
meeting with the RIIA on January 23rd, chaired by Richard Portes, to
which Professor Assar Lindbeck spoke on "The International Economic
Turmoil and the Developing World". Lindbeck is Chairman of the
Nobel Prize Committee in Economics and Director of the Institute for
International Economic Studies in Stockholm. He surveyed the long-term
factors behind the recent deteriorating performance of the developed
market economies, then analysed the legacies of the recent turmoil in
both developed and developing economies. This gave the background to his
proposed solutions to the international debt crisis, which required four
types of policy reforms: appropriate mechanisms for refinancing the old
debt, for sustaining new capital flows while not creating future
liquidity problems, for expanding LDC export markets, and for
productivity-enhancing incentives within individual LDCs.
|
|