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European
Financial Markets Network
Financial and
banking regulation
Developments in finance have prompted the formation of a Network on
Financial Markets to encourage interaction among European researchers in
the area. The network, established under the auspices of the European
Science Foundation, is administered by the Centre for Economic Policy
Research and chaired by Colin Mayer, Co-Director of CEPR's Applied
Microeconomics programme. The first meeting of the Network, held in
April 1989, was devoted to `Corporate Finance' see the report in
Bulletin No. 32. For the second meeting, held at the Institut Européen
d'Administration des Affaires (INSEAD) in Fontainebleau on 4/6 October
and organized by Jean Dermine (INSEAD), the theme was `The
Regulation of Banking and Financial Markets'.
Colin Mayer (City University Business School and CEPR) discussed
`Regulation of Financial Services: Lessons from the UK for 1992'. Mayer
argued that the sources of market failure in the operations of brokers
and dealers were different from those in the operations of investment
managers, so that different approaches should be taken to the
construction of regulations for each. The importance of brokers in the
provision of liquidity in capital markets suggested an emphasis on
equity regulations. For investment managers dealing with private clients
the most relevant sources of market failure were adverse selection and
moral hazard, so regulation should aim to establish whether agents are
`fit and proper' and draw up codes of conduct.
The behaviour of individual agents in markets was also the focus of the
paper by Paul Seabright (Churchill College, Cambridge, and CEPR)
on `Short-Termism in Financial Markets: A Principal-Agent Model with
Externalities'. Seabright developed a model of trading and promotion
decisions within a financial institution which operated in both
securities markets and commercial banking. The length of employment of
agents in securities markets was determined in the model, and
information about their performance was used to screen agents for
promotion in other markets, where their performance could not be
monitored ex post. Kim Staking (University of Pennsylvania) and Tom
Aiuppa (University of Wisconsin) examined `Insurance Regulation and
the Control of Agency Conflict' in the US property insurance market, in
which several forms of organization compete. Staking and Aiuppa examined
how firms chose to operate in different markets and suggested that
different organizational forms, such as stock insurance and mutual
insurance, created different degrees of agency conflicts, requiring
different methods of control.
Lars Nielsen (INSEAD) analysed expectations formation in the
presence of `Common Knowledge of a Multivariate Aggregate Statistic'. He
used a capital asset pricing model in which asset prices took the form
of a stochastic, monotone aggregate of expectations of returns on the
asset formed by asymmetrically informed investors. The model suggested
that, in any equilibrium where prices are common knowledge and
expectations are formed rationally, investors must agree on their
expectations despite the presence of asymmetric information.
Eric Briys (Centre HEC-ISA, Jouy-en-Josis), Michel Crouhy
(Centre HEC-ISA, Jouy-en-Josis) and Rainer Schobel (Universität
Lüneburg) evaluated `The Pricing of Interest Rate Cap, Floor and Collar
Agreements' in a contingent-claim, continuous-time framework. Their
model treated these instruments as options on traded, zero-coupon bonds
and in which the stochastic variables were the bond prices themselves,
the authors derived preference-free, closed-form solutions for the
pricing of these instruments.
Although there is a widespread view among market practitioners that
futures markets can have destabilizing effects on spot markets,
theorists have not been able to design models which exhibit
destabilizing properties. Roger Guesnerie (DELTA, ENS/EHESS,
Paris) and Charles Rochet (Université de Toulouse I) presented
their paper on the `Destabilizing Properties of Futures Markets: A New
Approach'. While previous analyses had focused on the variance of the
spot price, Guesnerie and Rochet examined instead the coordination of
agents and in particular the process through which agents are persuaded
to adopt their equilibrium strategies under rational expectations. The
establish ment of futures markets could prevent the convergence on
equilibrium.
In their paper, Philippe Aghion (DELTA), Patrick Bolton (Ecole
Polytechnique) and Mathias Dewatripont (Université Libre de
Bruxelles) examined `Interbank Lending and Contagious Bank Runs' caused
by shocks to banks' liquidity. The probability that an individual bank
will fail as the result of a liquidity shock can be reduced by the
facility of interbank lending, so long as the shock is not perfectly
correlated across banks. In the authors' model, however, if an
individual bank is allowed to fail despite the possibility of interbank
lending, this provides a signal concerning the inability or
unwillingness of other banks to lend and so may propagate further
failures through a bank run.
In `Deposit Rate Ceilings and the Market Value of Banks: The Case of
France', Jean Dermine and Pierre Hillion (INSEAD) assessed
the relationship between the market value and the asset liability
structure of French banks. Having developed and tested a simple model of
bank valuation, Dermine and Hillion analysed the determinants of the
1974 drop in banks' market values, a large part of which could be
attributed to the inflation tax.
A full report of this meeting will be available in the March 1990
Newsletter of the European Science Foundation Network in Financial
Markets. The Newsletter is sent automatically to members of the Network,
which is open to all researchers working in Europe in any area of the
economics of financial markets. Further information and copies of the
Newsletter can be obtained from Wendy Thompson at CEPR.
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