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The Trump administration's newly announced trade tariffs are set to reshape global economic dynamics, affecting supply chains, trade relationships, and market stability. As countries respond with countermeasures, industries worldwide brace for disruptions, with potential consequences for growth, inflation, and international cooperation. VoxEU explores the far-reaching economic impacts of these tariffs, analysing their implications for businesses, policymakers, and global trade.
Roaring tariffs: The global impact of the 2025 US trade war
Sweeping US tariff increases in 2025 are upending global trade. This column draws on new data and simulations to show that, even with partial suspensions, the measures are set to trigger sharp contractions in trade, significant welfare losses (especially for the US), and major disruptions to global supply chains.
Jean-Pierre Landau
Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan Can Soylu Muhammed A. Yıldırım 27 Apr 2025
The authors develop a novel framework to study the interaction between monetary policy and trade to show that the net impact of tariffs on domestic inflation, output, employment, and the dollar depends on the endogenous monetary policy response in both the tariff-imposing and tariff-exposed countries, within a global general equilibrium framework.
