Source: Bank of Italy and Eurostat.
Note: The €-coin series is based on the real time estimates of the indicator at a given date and hence the series is not revised. On the other hand, the GDP growth rates are calculated on the basis of Eurostat’s most recently published series and do reflect any changes in the historical data.
- €-coin rose slightly in December (from 0.16 to 0.21), nevertheless confirming the signs of a slowdown in economic activity overall in the fourth quarter.
- This month's small improvement mainly reflects the positive trend of some of the indicators of demand, including new car registrations. €-coin continues to be held back by the less favourable opinions of firms and households about the economy, linked to the marked increase in positive cases of COVID-19 and the rise in energy costs.
- The €-coin indicator developed by the Bank of Italy provides a summary index of the current economic situation in the euro area. The indicator is an estimate of quarterly GDP growth shorn of the most erratic components (seasonal variations, measurement errors and short-run volatility). €-coin is published monthly by the Bank of Italy and CEPR.
- As of January 2021, a new version of the indicator has been released, which incorporates some revisions to the database and to the sample on which our estimates are based. More information has been included regarding services – a sector whose importance has increased in terms of value added in the euro area
- Next €-coin release dates: Friday 4 February 2022 and Wednesday 2 March 2022 (provisional).
More information is available at http://eurocoin.cepr.org/