DP9780 The Doha Round Impasse: A Graphical Account

Author(s): Simon J Evenett
Publication Date: December 2013
Keyword(s): deadlock, Doha Round, impasse, two-level games, WTO
JEL(s): F02, F13, F53
Programme Areas: International Trade and Regional Economics
Link to this Page: cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=9780

Several factors potentially responsible for the failure to conclude the Doha Round of multilateral trade negotiations are analysed. A two-stage negotiation and ratification game between the ?North? (industrialised countries) and the ?South? (developing countries) is employed and collapses into a single diagram. The choice of negotiating agenda, principles, and currency of the Doha Round interact with domestic political factors in leading WTO members, the fast growth of exports prior to 2007, and pervasive unilateral trade reform to eliminate the ?landing zone? for this particular multilateral negotiation. Recent emphasis on differences between developing countries and on Chinese WTO accession as independent causes of the impasse seems misplaced.