Discussion paper

DP4494 Productivity, Tradability and the Long-Run Price Puzzle

Long-run cross-country price data exhibit a puzzle. Today, richer countries exhibit higher price levels than poorer countries, a stylized fact usually attributed to the ?Balassa-Samuelson? effect. But looking back 50 years, or more, this effect virtually disappears from the data. What is often assumed to be a universal property is actually quite specific to recent times. What might explain this historical pattern? We adopt a framework where goods are differentiated by tradability and productivity. A model with monopolistic competition, a continuum-of-goods, and endogenous tradability allows for theory and history to be consistent for a wide range of underlying productivity shocks.


Taylor, A, R Glick and P Bergin (2004), ‘DP4494 Productivity, Tradability and the Long-Run Price Puzzle‘, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 4494. CEPR Press, Paris & London. https://cepr.org/publications/dp4494