Discussion paper DP11035 Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 17 Jan 2016 International Macroeconomics and Finance C53 Q43
Discussion paper DP10404 Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014 Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 8 Feb 2015 International Macroeconomics C53 Q43
Discussion paper DP10362 Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 25 Jan 2015 International Macroeconomics C53 Q43
Discussion paper DP10162 A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices With an Application to Crude Oil Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 28 Sep 2014 International Macroeconomics C53 D84 G14 Q43
Discussion paper DP10075 Are there Gains from Pooling Real-Time Oil Price Forecasts? Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 27 Jul 2014 International Macroeconomics C53 Q43
Discussion paper DP9768 Do High-Frequency Financial Data Help Forecast Oil Prices? The MIDAS Touch at Work Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 1 Dec 2013 International Macroeconomics C53 G14 Q43
Discussion paper DP9689 Do Oil Price Increases Cause Higher Food Prices? Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 13 Oct 2013 International Macroeconomics E31 Q11 Q42 Q43
Discussion paper DP9569 Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 21 Jul 2013 International Macroeconomics C53 E32 Q43
Discussion paper DP9572 Are Product Spreads Useful for Forecasting? An Empirical Evaluation of the Verleger Hypothesis Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister Xiaoqing Zhou 21 Jul 2013 International Macroeconomics C53 G15 Q43
Discussion paper DP9118 What Central Bankers Need to Know about Forecasting Oil Prices Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 2 Sep 2012 International Macroeconomics C53 E32 Q43
Discussion paper DP8698 Real-Time Analysis of Oil Price Risks Using Forecast Scenarios Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 1 Dec 2011 International Macroeconomics C53 E32 Q43
Discussion paper DP8414 Real-Time Forecasts of the Real Price of Oil Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 1 Jun 2011 International Macroeconomics C53 E32 Q43