VoxEU Column What goes up, must come down: The business cycle in global commodity markets Xiaoqing Zhou Lutz Kilian 9 Nov 2017 Global economy International trade
Discussion paper DP12357 Modeling Fluctuations in the Global Demand for Commodities Lutz Kilian Xiaoqing Zhou 6 Oct 2017 International Macroeconomics and Finance F44 Q11 Q31 Q41 Q43
VoxEU Column How much the 2014-2016 oil price decline stimulated the US economy Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 18 May 2017 Energy Macroeconomic policy
VoxEU Column Global repercussions of the US tight oil boom Lutz Kilian 2 Apr 2017 Energy Global economy
Discussion paper DP11876 How the Tight Oil Boom Has Changed Oil and Gasoline Markets Lutz Kilian 24 Feb 2017 International Macroeconomics and Finance Q43 Q33
Discussion paper DP11868 Is the Discretionary Income Effect of Oil Price Shocks a Hoax? Christiane Baumeister Lutz Kilian Xiaoqing Zhou 21 Feb 2017 International Macroeconomics and Finance C51 Q43
Discussion paper DP11792 Lower Oil Prices and the U.S. Economy: Is This Time Different? Christiane Baumeister Lutz Kilian 18 Jan 2017 International Macroeconomics and Finance E32 Q43
Discussion paper DP11740 Did the Renewable Fuel Standard Shift Market Expectations of the Price of Ethanol? Christiane Baumeister Lutz Kilian 3 Jan 2017 Public Economics Q18 Q28 Q42 Q58
VoxEU Column Lower Brent prices and Saudi policy options: What’s shale oil got to do with it? Lutz Kilian 29 Mar 2016 Energy
Discussion paper DP11107 The Impact of the Fracking Boom on Arab Oil Producers Lutz Kilian 14 Feb 2016 International Macroeconomics and Finance F14 Q33 Q43
VoxEU Column Expecting the unexpected: Why the oil price keeps surprising us Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 8 Feb 2016 Macroeconomic policy
Discussion paper DP11035 Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 17 Jan 2016 International Macroeconomics and Finance C53 Q43