Discussion paper
Jesse Shapiro is the George Gund Professor of Economics and Business Administration at Harvard University. Prior to joining Harvard University, Shapiro served as the Eastman Professor of Political Economy at Brown University and the Chookaszian Family Professor of Economics at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business. Shapiro received a BA in economics in 2001 and a PhD in economics in 2005 from Harvard University. He is a Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research, an Associate Editor of the Quarterly Journal of Economics and the American Economic Review: Insights, and a former editor of the Journal of Political Economy. He was a 2011-12 Alfred P. Sloan Research Fellow, a 2017 Fellow of the Econometric Society, and a 2021 MacArthur Foundation Fellow.

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Why the 2024 US election, and so many others, were so hard to predict
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