Discussion paper

DP18375 What can keep euro area inflation high?

A central bank that faces inflation above target may fail to bring it down. This article discusses six ways in which this happens because the central bank is dominated by: misjudgment, expectations, fiscal policy, financial markets, recession fears, or external forces. It applies this approach to the challenge facing the ECB in 2023-24. The hope is that the factors identified can serve as warning signs for what to avoid.

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Citation

Reis, R (2023), ‘DP18375 What can keep euro area inflation high?‘, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 18375. CEPR Press, Paris & London. https://cepr.org/publications/dp18375