Discussion paper

DP19506 The Global Cross-Section of Corporate Bonds: Market, Maturity and Liquidity

We investigate a large set of pricing factors for corporate bonds in the 6 largest international markets. Econometrically, we show that pricing tests of cross-sections of bond portfolios are severely compromised in small samples. Employing Barillas and Shanken (2017) tests and global portfolios, standard corporate bond factor models are rejected in favor of a model featuring the global corporate bond market, a global maturity spread factor and a global liquidity spread factor. This model also prices a wide set of cross sections, including momentum, value, idiosyncratic risk, downside risk and ratings portfolios. The model also fits currency-specific cross-sections well, except for Japanese Yen bonds. Including a local market factor improves the fit substantially for Japanese Yen bonds. All returns are hedged in US dollars as hedged corporate bond portfolios strongly outperform unhedged portfolios.

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Citation

Bekaert, G, R De Santis and T Mondino (2024), ‘DP19506 The Global Cross-Section of Corporate Bonds: Market, Maturity and Liquidity‘, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 19506. CEPR Press, Paris & London. https://cepr.org/publications/dp19506