Discussion paper DP12357 Modeling Fluctuations in the Global Demand for Commodities Lutz Kilian Xiaoqing Zhou 6 Oct 2017 International Macroeconomics and Finance F44 Q11 Q31 Q41 Q43
Discussion paper DP11876 How the Tight Oil Boom Has Changed Oil and Gasoline Markets Lutz Kilian 24 Feb 2017 International Macroeconomics and Finance Q43 Q33
Discussion paper DP11868 Is the Discretionary Income Effect of Oil Price Shocks a Hoax? Christiane Baumeister Lutz Kilian Xiaoqing Zhou 21 Feb 2017 International Macroeconomics and Finance C51 Q43
Discussion paper DP11792 Lower Oil Prices and the U.S. Economy: Is This Time Different? Christiane Baumeister Lutz Kilian 18 Jan 2017 International Macroeconomics and Finance E32 Q43
Discussion paper DP11740 Did the Renewable Fuel Standard Shift Market Expectations of the Price of Ethanol? Christiane Baumeister Lutz Kilian 3 Jan 2017 Public Economics Q18 Q28 Q42 Q58
Discussion paper DP11107 The Impact of the Fracking Boom on Arab Oil Producers Lutz Kilian 14 Feb 2016 International Macroeconomics and Finance F14 Q33 Q43
Discussion paper DP11035 Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 17 Jan 2016 International Macroeconomics and Finance C53 Q43
Discussion paper DP10430 Anticipation, Tax Avoidance, and the Price Elasticity of Gasoline Demand James Stock Lutz Kilian Lucas W Davis John Coglianese 22 Feb 2015 International Macroeconomics C23 Q41 Q43
Discussion paper DP10404 Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014 Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 8 Feb 2015 International Macroeconomics C53 Q43
Discussion paper DP10362 Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 25 Jan 2015 International Macroeconomics C53 Q43
Discussion paper DP10304 The Impact of the Shale Oil Revolution on U.S. Oil and Gasoline Prices Lutz Kilian 21 Dec 2014 International Macroeconomics Q33 Q43
Discussion paper DP10298 Impulse Response Matching Estimators for DSGE Models Lutz Kilian Atsushi Inoue Pablo A. Guerron-Quintana 14 Dec 2014 International Macroeconomics C32 C52 E30 E50