Discussion paper DP20009 Charting the Uncharted: The (Un)Intended Consequences of Oil Sanctions and Dark Shipping Jesús Fernández-Villaverde Yiliang Li Le Xu Francesco Zanetti 7 Mar 2025 International Macroeconomics and Finance International Trade and Regional Economics Macroeconomics and Growth C32 C38 E32 Q43 R40
Discussion paper DP19941 Do Government Spending Multipliers Depend on the Sign of the Shock? Nadav Ben Zeev Valerie Ramey Sarah Zubairy 14 Feb 2025 Macroeconomics and Growth C32 E62 N12
Discussion paper DP19915 Misspecification-Robust Shrinkage and Selection for VAR Forecasts and IRFs Oriol Gonzalez-Casasus Frank Schorfheide 5 Feb 2025 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C11 C32 C52 C53
Discussion paper DP19836 The Comovement of Voter Preferences: Insights from U.S. Presidential Election Prediction Markets Beyond Polls Mikhail Chernov Vadim Elenev Dongho Song 8 Jan 2025 Political Economy Public Economics Asset Pricing C32 C53 D72 P00
Discussion paper DP19829 Distributional Dynamics Christian Bayer Moritz Kuhn Luis Calderon 6 Jan 2025 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations Macroeconomics and Growth E21 E32 E37 D31 C32 C55
Discussion paper DP19813 Higher-Order Moment Inequality Restrictions for SVARs Philippe Andrade Filippo Ferroni Leonardo Melosi 26 Dec 2024 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations Macroeconomics and Growth C32 E27 E32
Discussion paper DP19684 Nonparametric Local Projections Silvia Goncalves Ana Maria Herrera Lutz Kilian Elena Pesavento 17 Nov 2024 International Macroeconomics and Finance C14 C32 E52
Discussion paper DP19669 Forecasting Natural Gas Prices in Real Time Christiane Baumeister Florian Huber Thomas K. Lee Francesco Ravazzolo 11 Nov 2024 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C11 C32 C52 Q41 Q47
Discussion paper DP19656 The Dynamic Effects of Green and Non-Green Technology Shocks on Emissions and the Macroeconomy Emanuel Moench Soroosh Soofi Siavash 8 Nov 2024 Macroeconomics and Growth Climate Change and the Environment C32 O47 Q43 Q55
Discussion paper DP19483 Nowcasting Recession Risk Francesco Furno Domenico Giannone 16 Sep 2024 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E32 C32 C53
Discussion paper DP19379 Inference for Local Projections Atsushi Inoue Oscar Jordà Guido Kuersteiner 19 Aug 2024 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations Macroeconomics and Growth C11 C12 C22 C32 C44 E17
Discussion paper DP19378 Local projections Oscar Jordà Alan M. Taylor 19 Aug 2024 International Macroeconomics and Finance Monetary Economics and Fluctuations Macroeconomics and Growth C01 C14 C22 C26 C32 C54