Discussion paper DP10430 Anticipation, Tax Avoidance, and the Price Elasticity of Gasoline Demand James Stock Lutz Kilian Lucas W Davis John Coglianese 22 Feb 2015 International Macroeconomics C23 Q41 Q43
Discussion paper DP10404 Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014 Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 8 Feb 2015 International Macroeconomics C53 Q43
Discussion paper DP10362 Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 25 Jan 2015 International Macroeconomics C53 Q43
VoxEU Column How the shale oil revolution has affected US oil and gasoline prices Lutz Kilian 14 Jan 2015 Energy
Discussion paper DP10304 The Impact of the Shale Oil Revolution on U.S. Oil and Gasoline Prices Lutz Kilian 21 Dec 2014 International Macroeconomics Q33 Q43
Discussion paper DP10298 Impulse Response Matching Estimators for DSGE Models Lutz Kilian Atsushi Inoue Pablo A. Guerron-Quintana 14 Dec 2014 International Macroeconomics C32 C52 E30 E50
VoxEU Column What does the market think? A general approach to inferring market expectations from futures prices Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 19 Nov 2014 Financial Markets Frontiers of economic research
Discussion paper DP10162 A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices With an Application to Crude Oil Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 28 Sep 2014 International Macroeconomics C53 D84 G14 Q43
Discussion paper DP10075 Are there Gains from Pooling Real-Time Oil Price Forecasts? Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 27 Jul 2014 International Macroeconomics C53 Q43
Discussion paper DP10040 The Role of Oil Price Shocks in Causing U.S. Recessions Lutz Kilian Robert J. Vigfusson 22 Jun 2014 International Macroeconomics E32 E37 E51 Q43
Discussion paper DP9892 Joint Confidence Sets for Structural Impulse Responses Lutz Kilian Atsushi Inoue 16 Mar 2014 International Macroeconomics C32 C52 C53