Discussion paper DP9823 Oil Price Shocks: Causes and Consequences Lutz Kilian 9 Feb 2014 International Macroeconomics Q43
Discussion paper DP9768 Do High-Frequency Financial Data Help Forecast Oil Prices? The MIDAS Touch at Work Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 1 Dec 2013 International Macroeconomics C53 G14 Q43
Discussion paper DP9689 Do Oil Price Increases Cause Higher Food Prices? Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 13 Oct 2013 International Macroeconomics E31 Q11 Q42 Q43
VoxEU Column Forecasting oil prices using product spreads Lutz Kilian Xiaoqing Zhou Christiane Baumeister 24 Sep 2013 Energy
Discussion paper DP9569 Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 21 Jul 2013 International Macroeconomics C53 E32 Q43
Discussion paper DP9572 Are Product Spreads Useful for Forecasting? An Empirical Evaluation of the Verleger Hypothesis Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister Xiaoqing Zhou 21 Jul 2013 International Macroeconomics C53 G15 Q43
Discussion paper DP9297 Quantifying the Speculative Component in the Real Price of Oil: The Role of Global Oil Inventories Lutz Kilian 20 Jan 2013 International Macroeconomics F02 G15 G28 Q43
Discussion paper DP9118 What Central Bankers Need to Know about Forecasting Oil Prices Lutz Kilian Christiane Baumeister 2 Sep 2012 International Macroeconomics C53 E32 Q43
VoxEU Column Do oil prices help forecast US real GDP? The role of non-linearities and asymmetries Lutz Kilian 29 Jun 2012 Energy Macroeconomic policy
Discussion paper DP8980 Do Oil Prices Help Forecast U.S. Real GDP? The Role of Nonlinearities and Asymmetries Lutz Kilian Robert J. Vigfusson 21 May 2012 International Macroeconomics C32 C53 Q43
VoxEU Column Speculation in oil markets? What have we learned? Lutz Kilian 21 Apr 2012 Energy Financial Markets