DP14501 Populism and War

Author(s): Andrea Mattozzi, Massimo Morelli, Marcos Y. Nakaguma
Publication Date: March 2020
Keyword(s): Conflict Risk, inequality, populism, protectionism, Strategic Disengagement
Programme Areas: Public Economics
Link to this Page: cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=14501

Populist rulers in economic superpowers have important effects on international relations, conflict risk and inequality. We show that the consequences for civil war risk and inequality are largely negative, while interstate conflict risk increases for dyads with sufficient asymmetry in terms of trade openness and relative military power.