DP1508 International Implications of German Unification

Author(s): Hans-Werner Sinn
Publication Date: November 1996
Keyword(s): Direct Investment, Joint Ventures, Privatization, Transformation Economies
JEL(s): F01
Programme Areas: Financial Economics
Link to this Page: cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=1508

This paper advances the hypothesis that the EMS crisis was caused by German unification. Unification stimulated massive resource demand, which paralleled resource demand in the United States following Reagan?s tax reforms in the 1980s. The resource demand revised German interest rates relative to the rest of the world, which brought about devaluations of other European currencies. The paper identifies those European currencies needing revaluation before they can join the European currency union.