Discussion paper

DP15668 Credit default swaps around the world

We analyze the impact of the introduction of credit default swaps (CDS) on real decision making within the firm. Our structural model predicts that CDS introduction increases debt capacity more when uncertainty about the credit events that trigger CDS payment is lower. Using a sample of more than 56,000 firms across 51 countries, we find that CDS increase leverage more in legal and market environments where uncertainty regarding CDS obligations is reduced and when property rights are weaker. Our results highlight the importance of legal uncertainty surrounding the interpretation of the underlying trigger events of global credit derivatives.


Bartram, S, J Conrad, J Lee and M Subrahmanyam (2021), ‘DP15668 Credit default swaps around the world‘, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 15668. CEPR Press, Paris & London. https://cepr.org/publications/dp15668