Discussion paper

DP16313 The eurozone: what is to be done?

We construct a macro DSGE model of the eurozone and its two main regions, the North and the
South, with the aim of matching the macro facts of these economies by indirect inference and using the
resulting empirically-based model to assess possible new policy regimes. The model we have found to fit
the facts suggests that substantial gains in macro stability and consumer welfare are possible if the fiscal
authority in each region is given the freedom to respond to its own economic situation. Further gains
could come with the restoration of monetary independence to the two regions, in effect creating a second
'southern euro' bloc.


Minford, P, Z Ou, M Wickens and Z Zhu (2021), ‘DP16313 The eurozone: what is to be done?‘, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 16313. CEPR Press, Paris & London. https://cepr.org/publications/dp16313