Discussion paper

DP4479 The Dynamics of R&D and Innovation in the Short-Run and in the Long-Run

In this Paper we estimate the dynamic relationship between resources used in R&D by some OECD countries and their innovation output as measured by patent applications. We first estimate a long-run cointegration relation using recently developed tests and panel estimation techniques. We find that the stock of knowledge of a country, it?s R&D resources and the stock of international knowledge move together in the long run. Then, imposing this long-run relation across variables we analyse the impulse response of new ideas to a shock to R&D or to a shock to innovation by estimating an error correction mechanism. We find that internationally generated ideas have a very significant impact in helping innovation in a country. As a consequence, a positive shock to innovation in a large country as the US has, both in the short and in the long run, a significant positive effect on the innovation of all other countries.


Bottazzi, L and G Peri (2004), ‘DP4479 The Dynamics of R&D and Innovation in the Short-Run and in the Long-Run‘, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 4479. CEPR Press, Paris & London. https://cepr.org/publications/dp4479