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Themes

Key Themes
Artificial Intelligence
Central Banking
Climate Change
Competition Policy
Development & Growth
Economic History
Energy
EU Economic Architecture
Inflation
Political Economy
Poverty and income inequality
Sustainable Finance
Ukraine Initiative
Women in Economics
Other Themes
Business Cycles
Covid 19
Exchange Rates
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International Trade
Labour Markets
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Focus On
The Economic Consequences of the War
Trump & Tariffs

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C11

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Firm Heterogeneity and Structural Transformation in Developing Countries: Seven Decades of Plant-Level Evidence from Colombia

Firm Relocation as Environmental Policy: Impacts on Agglomeration, Workers and the Environment

Gender roles, work and structural transformation in a patriarchal society: Evidence from a household panel survey on Ghana

Gender, work and structural transformation

Heterogeneous Impacts of Market Integration: Evidence from Pakistan's Motorways

How Formal Property Rights Shape Social and Economic Networks: Evidence from a Land Tenure Reform Implemented as Randomized Control-Trial

Informality and the Cost of Children in Developing Countries

Marketplaces as focal points of structural transformation: understanding their emergence, persistence and decline using historical maps and satellite imagery

Measuring Global Industrial Policy: Patterns and Structure of IP Across Developing Economies, 2008-2020

Persistence of Inequality after the Apartheid: Assessing the role of Geography and Skills

Quantifying the Gains from Eradicating Malaria using a Structural Model

The impact of climate change on human capital accumulation: A macroeconomic perspective

The Impact of Multinationals on Informality: Evidence from Mexico

The interaction of public and private sector employment in least developed countries

Unpacking Economic Development: Evidence from Cohort- and Region-Level Data

Reducing Conflict and Improving Performance in the Economy (ReCIPE)

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C11

Discussion paper

DP20050 The Distributional Effects of Economic Uncertainty

Florian Huber
Massimiliano Marcellino
Tommaso Tornese

13 Mar 2025

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
C11
C30
E3
D31

Discussion paper

DP19965 Bayesian Nowcasting with Mixed Frequency Data Using Gaussian Processes

Niko Hauzenberger
Massimiliano Marcellino
Michael Pfarrhofer
Anna Stelzer

25 Feb 2025

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
C11
C22
C53
E31
E37

Discussion paper

DP19964 Machine Learning the Macroeconomic Effects of Financial Shocks

Niko Hauzenberger
Florian Huber
Karin Klieber
Massimiliano Marcellino

25 Feb 2025

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
C11
C30
C45
E3
E44

Discussion paper

DP19915 Misspecification-Robust Shrinkage and Selection for VAR Forecasts and IRFs

Oriol Gonzalez-Casasus
Frank Schorfheide

5 Feb 2025

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
C11
C32
C52
C53

Discussion paper

DP19669 Forecasting Natural Gas Prices in Real Time

Christiane Baumeister
Florian Huber
Thomas K. Lee
Francesco Ravazzolo

11 Nov 2024

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
C11
C32
C52
Q41
Q47

Discussion paper

DP19637 Are We Fragmented Yet? Measuring Geopolitical Fragmentation and Its Causal Effects

Jesús Fernández-Villaverde
Tomohide Mineyama
Dongho Song

2 Nov 2024

International Macroeconomics and Finance
C11
C33
E00
F01
F2
F4
F6

Discussion paper

DP19426 A Bayesian Approach for Inference on Probabilistic Surveys

Federico Bassetti
Roberto Casarin
Marco Del Negro

3 Sep 2024

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
C11
C14
C53
C82
E31
E32
E37

Discussion paper

DP19379 Inference for Local Projections

Atsushi Inoue
Oscar Jordà
Guido Kuersteiner

19 Aug 2024

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
Macroeconomics and Growth
C11
C12
C22
C32
C44
E17

Discussion paper

DP19381 Bayesian Neural Networks for Macroeconomic Analysis

Niko Hauzenberger
Florian Huber
Karin Klieber
Massimiliano Marcellino

19 Aug 2024

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
C11
C30
C45
C53
E3
E44

Discussion paper

DP19184 Are We Fragmented Yet? Measuring Geopolitical Fragmentation and Its Causal Effects

Jesús Fernández-Villaverde
Tomohide Mineyama
Dongho Song

25 Jun 2024

International Macroeconomics and Finance
C11
C33
E00
F01
F2
F4
F6

Discussion paper

DP19129 Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails

Christiane Baumeister
Florian Huber
Massimiliano Marcellino

3 Jun 2024

International Macroeconomics and Finance
Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
C11
C32
C53
Q41
Q47

Discussion paper

DP19115 Inference for Regression with Variables Generated by AI or Machine Learning

Laura Battaglia
Tim Christensen
Stephen Hansen
Szymon Sacher

29 May 2024

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
Organizational Economics
C11
C51
C55

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