Discussion paper

DP14364 Shocks, Frictions, and Inequality in US Business Cycles

We show how a heterogeneous-agent New-Keynesian (HANK) model with incom- plete markets and portfolio choice can be estimated in state space using a Bayesian approach. To render estimation feasible, the structure of the economy can be exploited and the dimensionality of the model automatically reduced based on the Bayesian priors. We apply this approach to analyze how much inequality matters for the business cycle and vice versa. Even when the model is estimated on aggregate data alone and with a set of shocks and frictions designed to match aggregate data, it broadly reproduces observed US inequality dynamics.


Bayer, C, B Born and R Luetticke (2020), ‘DP14364 Shocks, Frictions, and Inequality in US Business Cycles‘, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 14364. CEPR Press, Paris & London. https://cepr.org/publications/dp14364