Discussion paper

DP17007 From Anti-vax Intentions to Vaccination: Panel and Experimental Evidence from Nine Countries

Millions of people refuse COVID-19 vaccination. Using original data from two surveys in nine OECD countries, we analyze the determinants of anti-vax intentions in December 2020 and show that half of the anti-vax individuals were vaccinated by summer 2021. Vaccinations were more likely among individuals aged 50+, exposed to COVID-19, compliant with public restrictions, more informed on traditional media, trusting scientists, and less concerned about vaccines’ side effects. We run a survey experiment with informational messages. In EU countries, a message about protecting health largely increases vaccinations, even among anti-vax individuals. In the U.K. and U.S., a message about protecting the economy generates similar effects. Our findings suggest that informational campaigns should adopt adequate narratives and address concerns about vaccines’ side effects.

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Citation

Galasso, V, V Pons, P Profeta, M Becher, S Brouard and M Foucault (2022), ‘DP17007 From Anti-vax Intentions to Vaccination: Panel and Experimental Evidence from Nine Countries‘, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 17007. CEPR Press, Paris & London. https://cepr.org/publications/dp17007