Discussion paper

DP20068 Voluntary Unemployment

Using micro-data, we show that 15%-35% of employment-to-unemployment transitions are done voluntarily. In many countries, the voluntarily unemployed are excluded from unemployment insurance. We analyze the implications of such policies. First, we estimate that the voluntarily unemployed do not experience a persistent drop in subsequent earnings, contrasting the earnings scars from involuntary unemployment. Second, we show that a structural model in which heterogeneous workers and firms search for efficient matches can account for these patterns. Excluding voluntarily unemployed from unemployment insurance reduces search incentives (for both workers and firms) and can substantially disrupt allocative efficiency at the aggregate level.

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Citation

Hayward, Z, M Nolan and P Sedláček (2025), ‘DP20068 Voluntary Unemployment‘, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 20068. CEPR Press, Paris & London. https://cepr.org/publications/dp20068