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Themes

Key Themes
Artificial Intelligence
Central Banking
Climate Change
Competition Policy
Development & Growth
Economic History
Energy
EU Economic Architecture
Inflation
Political Economy
Poverty and income inequality
Sustainable Finance
Ukraine Initiative
Women in Economics
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Business Cycles
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Exchange Rates
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International Trade
Labour Markets
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Monetary Policy
Productivity and Innovation
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Focus On
The Economic Consequences of the War
Trump & Tariffs

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Firm Heterogeneity and Structural Transformation in Developing Countries: Seven Decades of Plant-Level Evidence from Colombia

Firm Relocation as Environmental Policy: Impacts on Agglomeration, Workers and the Environment

Gender roles, work and structural transformation in a patriarchal society: Evidence from a household panel survey on Ghana

Gender, work and structural transformation

Heterogeneous Impacts of Market Integration: Evidence from Pakistan's Motorways

How Formal Property Rights Shape Social and Economic Networks: Evidence from a Land Tenure Reform Implemented as Randomized Control-Trial

Informality and the Cost of Children in Developing Countries

Marketplaces as focal points of structural transformation: understanding their emergence, persistence and decline using historical maps and satellite imagery

Measuring Global Industrial Policy: Patterns and Structure of IP Across Developing Economies, 2008-2020

Persistence of Inequality after the Apartheid: Assessing the role of Geography and Skills

Quantifying the Gains from Eradicating Malaria using a Structural Model

The impact of climate change on human capital accumulation: A macroeconomic perspective

The Impact of Multinationals on Informality: Evidence from Mexico

The interaction of public and private sector employment in least developed countries

Unpacking Economic Development: Evidence from Cohort- and Region-Level Data

Reducing Conflict and Improving Performance in the Economy (ReCIPE)

Selected filters

Forecasting

Discussion paper

DP19915 Misspecification-Robust Shrinkage and Selection for VAR Forecasts and IRFs

Oriol Gonzalez-Casasus
Frank Schorfheide

5 Feb 2025

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
C11
C32
C52
C53

Discussion paper

DP18660 Building Central Bank Credibility: The Role of Forecast Performance

Michael Mcmahon
Ryan Rholes

5 Dec 2023

Central Bank Communication
Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
E52
E58

Discussion paper

DP18560 Bayesian Estimation of Panel Models under Potentially Sparse Heterogeneity

Hyungsik Roger Moon
Frank Schorfheide
Boyuan Zhang

29 Oct 2023

Macroeconomics and Growth
Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
C11
C23
C53
E20

Discussion paper

DP18547 Time Varying Three Pass Regression Filter

Yiannis Dendramis
George Kapetanios
Massimiliano Marcellino

23 Oct 2023

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
C13

Discussion paper

DP18524 Forecasting crashes with a smile

Ian Martin
Ran Shi

12 Oct 2023

Asset Pricing
G12
G17

Discussion paper

DP18043 A Snapshot of Central Bank (two year) Forecasting: A Mixed Picture

Charles Goodhart
Manoj Pradhan

29 Mar 2023

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
D10
D21
D80
D89
E17
E31
E37
E47
E59

Discussion paper

DP17512 Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions

Andrea Carriero
Todd Clark
Massimiliano Marcellino

28 Jul 2022

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
C53
E17
E37
F47

Discussion paper

DP16900 A Practical Review of Methods to Estimate Overcharges Using Linear Regression

Roman Inderst
Christopher Milde

15 Jan 2022

Industrial Organization
K13
C20

VoxEU Column

After floods and pandemics: How to obtain a meaningful forecast

Georg Strasser
Gabriel Pérez Quirós
Gerhard Rünstler
Elena Bobeica

31 Oct 2021

Macroeconomic policy
Frontiers of economic research
Exchange Rates

VoxEU Column

Expectations data indicate the US is entering recession about now

Alex Bryson
David Blanchflower

21 Oct 2021

COVID-19
Global economy

Discussion paper

DP16520 Measuring Market Expectations

Christiane Baumeister

6 Sep 2021

Financial Economics
International Macroeconomics and Finance
Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
C52
E31
E43
E52
G14
Q43

Discussion paper

DP16496 Nowcasting Tail Risk to Economic Activity at a Weekly Frequency

Massimiliano Marcellino
Todd Clark
Andrea Carriero

31 Aug 2021

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
C53
E17
E37
F47

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