Discussion paper DP13470 The Global Component of Inflation Volatility Massimiliano Marcellino Andrea Carriero Francesco Corsello 21 Jan 2019 International Macroeconomics and Finance Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E31 F62 C32 E37 C53
Discussion paper DP13231 Looking into Crystal Balls: A Laboratory Experiment on Reputational Cheap Talk Debrah Meloso Salvatore Nunnari Marco Ottaviani 9 Oct 2018 Industrial Organization C91 D83
Discussion paper DP13034 The Forcasting Performance of Dynamic Factor Models with Vintage Data Mario Forni 3 Jul 2018 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C01 C32 C52 C53 E27 E37
VoxEU Column As good as a random walk: Inflation forecasting in emerging market economies Enrique Martínez García Roberto Duncan 8 Jun 2018 Frontiers of economic research Macroeconomic policy
Discussion paper DP12013 Model Uncertainty in Macroeconomics: On the Implications of Financial Frictions Michael Binder Philipp Lieberknecht Jorge Quintana Volker Wieland 28 Apr 2017 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E17 E44 E47 E52
VoxEU Column Exchange rate prediction redux Yi Zhang Menzie David Chinn Antonio Garcia Pascual Yin-Wong Cheung 27 Apr 2017 Exchange Rates
Discussion paper DP11970 The Quanto Theory of Exchange Rates Ian Martin Lukas Kremens 19 Apr 2017 Financial Economics International Macroeconomics and Finance G12 G15 F31 F37 F47
VoxEU Column Exchange rate forecasting with DSGE models Marcin Kolasa Michał Rubaszek Michele Ca' Zorzi 3 Mar 2017 Exchange Rates
VoxEU Column Reducing the uncertainty around exchange rate forecasts: A new model Massimiliano Marcellino Angela Abbate 4 Feb 2017 Exchange Rates Macroeconomic policy
VoxEU Column Why we fail to prevent civil wars: A forecaster’s perspective Christopher Rauh Hannes Mueller 20 Oct 2016 Politics and economics
Discussion paper DP11516 Reading Between the Lines: Prediction of Political Violence Using Newspaper Text Hannes Mueller Christopher Rauh 20 Sep 2016 Development Economics O11 H12 C81 H56
Discussion paper DP11391 Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, With Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts Barbara Rossi Tatevik Sekhposyan 14 Jul 2016 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C22 C52 C53