VoxEU Column Tracking GDP using Google Trends and machine learning: A new OECD model Nicolas Woloszko 19 Dec 2020 COVID-19 Frontiers of economic research
VoxEU Column Words versus deeds: How central banks manage expectations Ewa Stanisławska Wirginia Doryn Tomasz Lyziak Paweł Baranowski 22 Oct 2020 Monetary Policy
Discussion paper DP15403 A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth Christiane Baumeister Pierre Guerin 22 Oct 2020 International Macroeconomics and Finance Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C22 C52 E37
VoxEU Column Forecasting the COVID-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis Massimiliano Marcellino Dalibor Stevanovic Claudia Foroni 29 Sep 2020 COVID-19 Global crisis
VoxEU Column The Global Weakness Index: Reading the economy’s vital signs during the COVID-19 crisis Gabriel Pérez Quirós Eyno Rots Danilo Leiva-León 21 Jun 2020 COVID-19 Global crisis
Discussion paper DP14580 Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions Christiane Baumeister Dimitris Korobilis Thomas K. Lee 7 Apr 2020 International Macroeconomics and Finance Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C11 C32 C52 Q41 Q47
Discussion paper DP14472 Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them Barbara Rossi 5 Mar 2020 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E4 E52 E21 H31 I3 D1
Discussion paper DP14456 Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence Barbara Rossi Tatevik Sekhposyan Lukas Hoesch 29 Feb 2020 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E52 E58 C11 C14 C22
VoxEU Column The accuracy of long-term growth forecasts by economics researchers Masayuki Morikawa 10 Feb 2020 Macroeconomic policy
Discussion paper DP13829 The Promise and Pitfalls of Conflict Prediction: Evidence from Colombia and Indonesia Christopher Blattman Oeindrila Dube Samuel Bazzi Matthew Gudgeon Richard Peck Robert Blair 27 Jun 2019 Development Economics D74 C52 C53
Discussion paper DP13748 The Hard Problem of Prediction for Conflict Prevention Hannes Mueller Christopher Rauh 22 May 2019 Development Economics
VoxEU Column Bank networks and systemic risk in the Great Depression Kris Mitchener Angela Vossmeyer Sanjiv Das 11 Mar 2019 Economic history Financial Regulation and Banking Global crisis